Mortgage Rates Fall to Record Lows (again)

MORTGAGE RATES FALL TO RECORD LOWS (AGAIN)

The average 30 year fixed mortgage rate dropped to 3.94% which matches the all-time low in October.  The 15 year fixed rate mortgage also saw a new record low of 3.21% which is lower than the previous record held on October 6th of 2011.Adjustable rate mortgages (ARM’s) also fell to new lows—hitting 2.86%.

Mortgage rates have remained near record lows for a couple of months and finally hit the magic number—surpassing the previous records lows.

Interest rates should remain low through mid-2012 according to Freddie Mac’s chief economist, Frank Nothaft.

Home buyers will see substantial savings if deciding to take advantage of the current real estate market.  5 years ago, a home purchaser would have felt “blessed” to obtain a 5% interest rate on a 15 year loan.   A borrower would have paid $1,582 per month on a $200,000 mortgage at 5%.  At a 3.2% interest rate, the monthly payment would not come in at or around $1,400 per month—a substantial savings of $182 monthly.

Treasury bond yields (which have also stayed low) tend to coincide with mortgage rates.  10-year Treasury notes have fallen below 2% for the past 3 months as investors have stayed away from Europe and its debt issues.

Low home pricing combined with historic interest rates make buying a home extremely affordable right now.   Call me today for additional information:  208-869-3469!

Mortgage servicers bypass foreclosure delays with more short sales

Mortgage servicers bypass foreclosure delays with more short sales

Mortgage servicers moved more to short sales in the past year due to attorney general investigations and lengthy foreclosure delays.

By the middle of 2011, according to Moody’s Investors Service, short sales grew 25% from the 8% August 2009 liquidations of distressed properties level.  In the meantime, borrower default to foreclosure grew to an average of 24 months (the average time to complete the foreclosure process in 2009 was 14 months).

The substantial delays lengthened the foreclosure processes which obviously caused greater losses by the banks and investors.  As you may be aware, the foreclosure processes were halted in October of 2010 to correct mismanaged foreclosures as part of the robo-signing scandal.  New regulations from the government along with negotiations between State Attorney generals are still ongoing and are causing banks and servicers to turn to short sales rather than starting the foreclosure process.

“To reduce their expenses and mitigate the high loss severity on liquidated loans, servicers are increasingly opting to bypass the foreclosure process and liquidate properties more quickly through a short sale,” Moody’s analysts said.

Short sales used to cut into “shadow inventory”

In order to cut into the “shadow inventory”, servicers of mortgages are using short sale transactions and Standard & Poor stated that short sales did actually decrease the shadow inventory within the 2nd quarter of 2011.

The average short sale took just under 12 months to sell while the average REO took 17 months in the middle of 2011.  Losses dropped, as well, with banks witnessing a 70% loss rate on REO property sold in comparison to just 60% for short sales sold.

Short sales also allow borrowers to purchase a home again within 1-2 years while homes which are foreclosed upon do not allow the previous owner to purchase again for at least 5-7 years.

Even so, short sales are still difficult due to investors arguing whether or not to provide an approval for the short sale.

“Short sales, like other servicer loss mitigation strategies, may stir a fierce ‘class warfare’ between investors in different parts of the deal capital structure,” Deutsche Bank researchers said.

Short sales are the new REO

Analysts from Moody’s stated that short sales helped with the severity of losses through the market turmoil as foreclosure problems continue to hurt the recovery process.  Moody’s also stated that the stabilization of average loss is helped by reducing the liquidation timeline

Do you have any additional questions about short sales and the processes associated with them?  If  so, please call me directly to discuss the “in’s and out’s” of short sales.  208-869-3469

The New Normal?

The crisis that almost collapsed the financial system, the markets and the economy was a once-in-a-lifetime event for most of us. The effect was not only monetary, but psychological. Shifts in attitudes about money, financial independence, retirement, leverage and consumption may leave their marks for years to come.

Many people have seen the values of their financial assets, including real estate, drop close to 18 percent; however, few have changed their approaches to investment management. Some affluent investors suffered losses of 40 percent to 50 percent – enough to shatter their faith.

January is Financial Wellness month, so let’s take a quick look back and then think about what’s to come and how to work toward restoring some semblance of stability.

There is a lot of evidence out there to support all the scary thoughts. The 100-year flood happens about every five to seven years. Markets are never average or normal and are usually above or below the bell curve. The tools available to make investment decisions are not forward-looking. They are always historical. Can you imagine using only the rear-view mirror?

Financial advisors need to help people rebuild plans that address new economic realities and long-term goals. With my long-time clients, I still check and double check to make sure I understand their thinking and feelings. In many cases, my clients’ families have become even more important, and we include them in meetings. Mindsets continue to shift, and approaches need adjustments. Simply keeping in touch is more critical than ever.

Many successful Americans come from average backgrounds and circumstances, and have worked hard to earn their success, wealth and comforts. Their financial position, investing and saving has been a source of pride. They felt they understood the rules of the game – the American dream. The sharp downturn in real estate values, falls of some of the leading financial institutions and job losses lead to weakened faith in the system.

Some have responded by shifting their behavior, reducing discretionary spending and looking for exceptional value. Psychologically, it feels wrong to be wasteful. Saving feels more moral and has increased significantly in recent months.

We’ve arrived at a time many are referring to as the new normal.

High unemployment and slow growth for the U.S. Gross Domestic Product of 1 percent to 2 percent have been forecast. This will be unacceptable to Americans, who will put pressure on politicians to encourage domestic growth. Americans are burdened with high debt and slow growth. Some are unhappy with government presence.
How do we turn the economy toward healthier growth and exports with a cheap dollar? These are questions that will continue to be explored into 2010. In the new normal, people will think and plan differently for the future.

There is a sense that the worst is over and a kind of pride in surviving the worst of times. There is a satisfaction that comes from emphasis on real needs, simple pleasures and a focus on managing what one can control. People are taking pride in their shopping skills. Shopping at thrift stores is no longer just fun and funky; it just makes more sense, in most cases, than buying new.

I’ve seen family ties that have been strengthened. In times of financial crisis, many families are forced to communicate. Even divorce rates are falling.
In the investment world, we’re focusing on quality and value, which is fundamental.

There is some evidence of renewed confidence. But investors remain cautious. Low-quality investments in the early stages of recovery may be attractive, but can be far too risky. It is important to measure the risk of investing against the risk of not investing. Staying in cash at no return won’t help in the long term.

Don’t sit and wait. Know what to fear and what may be advantageous. Embrace the new economic reality.

**IBR